The dynasty is coming to an end. What happens next?
Dynasties typically follow a script: the star player gracefully retires or experiences a decline in performance, and the team subsequently unravels. Consider Duncan's Spurs, culminating in a remarkable 67-win season, or Jordan's Bulls securing a title in their final campaign before disbanding. Magic Johnson led the Lakers to the finals in his last season, while Larry Bird's Celtics claimed the top seed in the East with 51 victories, advancing to the conference semifinals. However, the Warriors are challenging this historical narrative in a rather peculiar fashion. The triumvirate of Draymond Green, Klay Thompson, and Steph Curry, who have been the linchpin of their success, seem destined for a different fate. Despite their recent subpar performance, the prevailing anomaly lies not in Curry's sudden decline or contemplation of retirement, but in the undeniable sense that the Warriors, as we know them, have reached a definitive end – a chapter concluded, a history written.
In recent times, Draymond Green has emerged as the Warriors' most problematic teammate, prompting questions about his role on the team and the substantial four-year, $100 million contract he inked during the offseason. Green's conduct has been particularly egregious, with three ejections and two suspensions within a span of just 30 games. From infamous incidents like stomping on Sabonis' chest to kicking Steven Adams in a sensitive area and even resorting to physically confronting his own teammate, Jordan Poole, Green's track record is littered with controversy. The question now looms large: is the hefty contract he secured turning out to be more of a burden than a blessing?
Even when Green does manage to grace the court, his impact on the Warriors has been less than stellar. The team suffers a 6.3-point deficit in the minutes he plays, and his defensive rating of 117.0 ranks a disappointing 23rd in the league. This is a far cry from his defensive prowess in previous years, where his ratings consistently ranked among the elite. It's evident that Green's value as an elite defender, once renowned for shutting down the opposition's star player night after night, has experienced a notable regression. Whether attributed to on-court struggles or off-court distractions, the decline raises concerns about the Warriors' investment in a player who, at this juncture, seems to be causing more harm than good.
15ppg Scorers: Tyrese Maxey, Desmond Bane, Franz Wagner, Alperen Sengun, Devin Vassell, Immanuel Quickley
James Wiseman was playing so poorly that they traded him midway last season to Detroit. The duo of Kuminga and Moody has played very well this season, and the Warriors' young rookies Brandin Podziemski and Trayce Jackson-Davis have played excellently to start their careers. They are not to blame. They are the victims in this situation. Jonathan Kuminga is playing the best basketball of his career, but Steve Kerr has not played him during the crucial moments, leading to reports that Kuminga has lost all faith in Kerr. The lack of support from the older group of players has hampered this team the most, and it doesn't feel like this will change anytime soon. As of 5th Jan, the Golden State Warriors are 16-18, sitting at 11th place, outside the play-in. This current group has neither the talent nor the depth to compete in what is likely to be a loaded Western Conference, so drastic decisions will have to be made. So what's next? There are three ways that the Warriors can approach this.
Way 1: Trade for a star
The good news for the Warriors is that they own most of their picks in the next 7 years, which gives them enough leeway to go out and trade for a star if they need to. Zach LaVine, Demar Derozan, Pascal Siakam, Dejounte Murray, and others would be great fits alongside Steph Curry, with his off-ball movement and shiftiness giving them room to operate with the ball in their hands. In addition, LaVine and Murray will provide extra defensive help alongside Curry, something that Klay Thompson has severely lacked in this season. For LaVine and Murray who signed long-term contracts, the trade package could be:
2-4 1st Round picks
Jonathan Kuminga and/or Moses Moody
Any one of Klay Thompson, Chris Paul, and Andrew Wiggins.
Way 2: Do Nothing
It is completely possible that by the end of the year, the Warriors have won 48+ games, Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins will both be back to playing their best basketball, everything that was wrong with the Warriors will be back to normal and they make the Conference Semi-Finals or higher. In that case, this article was a fraud and nothing in it is to be trusted. With Steph Curry playing like he is, it is completely possible and if that does happen, I apologize to every Warriors fan for turning my back on you and having no faith. If it doesn't, every Warriors fan has to finally acknowledge that the run is finally coming to an end.
Now there is new news suggesting that the Warriors are ready to trade Andrew Wiggins. This is the last hope, the last trick that the Warriors have. If this doesn’t work out and the Warriors are unable to acquire a star player, it’s over. The West is too strong and contains far too many young, up-and-coming teams that will fight till the end, and will do whatever it takes to get better. Unfortunately for the Bay, their era of dominance is over.
Interesting analysis. Part of what we see across any team or organisation. It's about structured succession planning which invovles not just recruiting top talent, grooming them, but also exposing them to enough critical situations so that they develop the skills (and importantly remain motivated). Too much reliance on key people has often led to a gap in performance when the leaders are past their prime and the next gen is not ready. Interesting to see the same thing playing out here. Probably true for any situation where a team needs to work together to drive success, be it sports or business!
ReplyDeleteGreat takes
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